Varvara Gracheva vs Xinyu Wang Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve performance over the last 6 months, Xinyu Wang has a slight edge with 43.40% of points won compared to Varvara Gracheva's 39.56%.
• Both players have similar success in returning opponents' second serves, with Gracheva at 50.22% and Wang at 50.60%.
• Interestingly, Gracheva outperforms on first serve returns with 33.97%, compared to Wang's 27.85%. What does this suggest about her service return skills? It implies a potential edge in breaking her opponent's serve.
• Under pressure, Wang demonstrates better breakpoint saving at 54.27% versus Gracheva's 48.48%, which can be crucial during critical points in a match.
• Gracheva has a better win rate over the past year with 53.85%, slightly ahead of Wang's 49.02%.
• When it comes to play surfaces, Gracheva excels on Clay with a 65% win rate, while Wang's best performance is on Indoor hard courts with the same win rate.
• Gracheva has more experience on the Main tour over the past year, though Wang has a higher match win rate at this level, with 62.07% compared to Gracheva's 53.85%.
• Xinyu Wang has faced more challenging opponents based on their average ranking of 75.02, which might boost her match preparedness compared to Gracheva's opponents averaging 135.38 in rank.
• In examining deciding set performance, Wang has a slight advantage with a 59% win rate over Gracheva's 54%.

Editorial Prediction (October 19, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent second serve performance, Xinyu Wang edges out Varvara Gracheva, suggesting Wang may have a slight advantage in service games. However, Gracheva's superior first serve return ability could neutralize some of Wang's service game plans.

While Gracheva has a slightly higher overall match win percentage in the past year, Wang has consistently saved more breakpoints, indicating a potentially stronger mental resilience during crucial moments. This may give her an upper hand during closely contested points.

Surface preferences and recent tour experiences further complicate predictions. Gracheva thrives on clay but struggles on grass, whereas Wang performs best on indoor hard courts. Moreover, Wang has faced more challenging opponents recently, which could be an asset if she encounters high-level players.

When matches go to decisive sets, both players display strong capabilities, though Wang has a marginally better record in these scenarios. Given the data, Xinyu Wang is slightly more favored to win this upcoming match due to her breakpoint saving prowess and experience against higher-ranked opponents.